Chad Likely To See No Change In Roles of Extra-Government Non-State Actors Over The Next Five Years
Executive Summary:
Due to highly significant elements of instability, large levels of anarchy, difficulty in doing business, and corruption, Chad retains a score of 4 on the
Extra-Governmental side of the non-state actor role potential spectrum. This indicates that it is likely that unlawful non-state actors, such as the Zaghawa rebel groups in Chad's northeast, or criminal organizations throughout the country, play a significant role. The rebellion, in addition to clashes along the Darfur border, has displaced 150,000 civilians, making it difficult for any type of lawful non-state actor to compete in the country. Despite growing instability caused by these rebellions and the effects this instability has on the economy, Chad is likely to remain at its current score for the next five years, due to mitigating factors such as incoming oil wealth and measures taken by President Deby to strengthen his control over the country.
Chad Likely To See No Change In Roles of Extra-Government Non-State Actors Over The Next Five Years
Executive Summary:
Due to highly significant elements of instability, large levels of anarchy, difficulty in doing business, and corruption, Chad retains a score of 4 on the
Extra-Governmental side of the non-state actor role potential spectrum.
Analytic Confidence: 7
Source Reliability: 9
Discussion: